Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 520.460495 553.441816 587.713083 626.043640 667.790467 711.959485 762.328722
2026-01-18 475.541080 520.613041 569.313622 626.056907 690.620710 762.109267 847.684582
2026-01-25 448.688147 501.641262 560.507546 631.206264 714.349213 809.689929 928.256373
2026-02-01 428.774759 487.610239 554.551250 636.990244 736.665622 854.429297 1005.814511
2026-02-08 413.196533 476.824611 550.685871 643.666092 758.882349 898.707688 1083.968916
2026-02-15 397.110332 464.051000 543.113157 644.561052 773.017772 932.682082 1150.086852
2026-02-22 382.855247 452.443012 535.917938 644.899215 785.652506 964.511753 1214.368026
2026-03-01 371.533441 443.667435 531.459798 647.960823 801.279655 1000.282641 1285.276868
2026-03-08 359.434297 433.221763 524.196410 646.703907 810.700011 1027.739312 1345.811205
2026-03-15 349.297248 424.709019 518.833334 647.368082 822.276881 1058.165059 1411.766370
2026-03-22 339.570516 416.240208 513.028903 646.939846 831.996210 1086.074797 1475.292903
2026-03-29 330.682708 408.447713 507.678694 646.682866 841.632678 1113.954026 1540.028253
2026-04-05 323.799431 403.017388 505.200599 650.150481 856.520568 1149.955427 1619.255831
2026-04-12 316.063997 396.138065 500.449247 650.134773 866.231311 1178.618047 1688.661945
2026-04-19 310.845762 392.392363 499.705748 655.549867 883.821651 1219.589401 1779.964810
2026-04-26 306.196671 389.209356 499.534901 661.634373 902.477636 1262.890317 1877.762836
2026-05-03 302.150745 386.670808 500.089232 668.658310 922.676104 1309.397490 1983.950063
2026-05-10 296.288971 381.418681 496.626932 669.600031 933.542062 1341.599851 2067.773778
2026-05-17 290.552920 376.145666 492.920199 669.955868 943.380661 1372.456582 2151.172670
2026-05-24 286.027525 372.409865 491.234924 673.177641 957.695305 1411.136896 2251.143925
2026-05-31 280.314578 366.821076 486.687461 671.854938 964.654671 1437.844386 2330.959818
2026-06-07 275.487879 362.343571 483.581860 672.553870 974.773572 1470.212645 2423.556802
2026-06-14 270.542500 357.551122 479.849980 672.103223 982.912023 1499.469020 2512.226940